tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Tucson → Chicago via Seattle: arrives on time 22%

  1. 07:10 TUS → 10:37 SEA
    AS 3361 · Alaska, flown by SkyWest · 3h 27m · 90% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 52m layover in Seattle (SEA) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 11:29 SEA → 17:38 ORD
    AS 346 · Alaska · 4h 09m · 28% on time, 5.7% cancelled

Total trip 8h 28m, scheduled departure to arrival (Chicago is 2 h ahead of Tucson). Times are local. Both flew on 35 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection82%The first flight arrived more than 7 minutes late on 18% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 52m layover.
Arrives on time22%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (82%) × second flight not cancelled (5.7% are) and within 15 minutes (28%).
Total trip8h 28mTUS 07:10 to ORD 17:38, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.