tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Tucson → Chicago via Seattle: arrives on time 70%

  1. 07:10 TUS → 10:37 SEA
    AS 3361 · Alaska, flown by SkyWest · 3h 27m · 90% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 2h 33m layover in Seattle (SEA) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 13:10 SEA → 19:21 ORD
    AS 410 · Alaska · 4h 11m · 72% on time, 1.1% cancelled

Total trip 10h 11m, scheduled departure to arrival (Chicago is 2 h ahead of Tucson). Times are local. Both flew on 52 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection99%The first flight arrived more than 108 minutes late on 1% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 2h 33m layover.
Arrives on time70%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (99%) × second flight not cancelled (1.1% are) and within 15 minutes (72%).
Total trip10h 11mTUS 07:10 to ORD 19:21, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.