tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Salt Lake City → Bozeman via Seattle: arrives on time 31%

  1. 09:10 SLC → 10:35 SEA
    AS 3381 · Alaska, flown by SkyWest · 2h 25m · 56% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 54m layover in Seattle (SEA) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 11:29 SEA → 14:09 BZN
    AS 285 · Alaska · 1h 40m · 71% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 4h 59m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 52 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection43%The first flight arrived more than 9 minutes late on 57% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 54m layover.
Arrives on time31%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (43%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (71%).
Total trip4h 59mSLC 09:10 to BZN 14:09, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.