tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Salt Lake City → Denver via Seattle: arrives on time 54%

  1. 09:10 SLC → 10:35 SEA
    AS 3381 · Alaska, flown by SkyWest · 2h 25m · 56% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 1h 09m layover in Seattle (SEA) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 11:44 SEA → 15:38 DEN
    AS 535 · Alaska · 2h 54m · 78% on time, 0.9% cancelled

Total trip 6h 28m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 52 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection70%The first flight arrived more than 24 minutes late on 30% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 09m layover.
Arrives on time54%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (70%) × second flight not cancelled (0.9% are) and within 15 minutes (78%).
Total trip6h 28mSLC 09:10 to DEN 15:38, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.