tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Salt Lake City → San Francisco via Seattle: arrives on time 46%

  1. 09:10 SLC → 10:35 SEA
    AS 3381 · Alaska, flown by SkyWest · 2h 25m · 56% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 1h 07m layover in Seattle (SEA) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 11:42 SEA → 14:04 SFO
    AS 655 · Alaska · 2h 22m · 70% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 5h 54m, scheduled departure to arrival (San Francisco is 1 h behind Salt Lake City). Times are local. Both flew on 52 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection66%The first flight arrived more than 22 minutes late on 34% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 07m layover.
Arrives on time46%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (66%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (70%).
Total trip5h 54mSLC 09:10 to SFO 14:04, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.