tailodds FORECAST
Connection · two tickets · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Monterey → Phoenix via San Diego: arrives on time 75%

  1. 06:00 MRY → 07:34 SAN
    AS 3384 · Alaska, flown by SkyWest · 1h 34m · 91% on time, 4.8% cancelled
  2. 2h 07m layover in San Diego (SAN) · 90 min minimum on separate tickets
  3. 09:41 SAN → 11:09 PHX
    AA 2461 · American · 1h 28m · 82% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 5h 09m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 51 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection96%The first flight arrived more than 37 minutes late on 4% of the days it flew: too late for the 90-minute minimum connection on a 2h 07m layover.
Arrives on time75%First flight not cancelled (4.8% are) × connection made (96%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (82%).
Total trip5h 09mMRY 06:00 to PHX 11:09, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.