tailodds FORECAST
Connection · two tickets · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Monterey → San Francisco via San Diego: arrives on time 65%

  1. 06:00 MRY → 07:34 SAN
    AS 3384 · Alaska, flown by SkyWest · 1h 34m · 91% on time, 4.8% cancelled
  2. 3h 27m layover in San Diego (SAN) · 90 min minimum on separate tickets
  3. 11:01 SAN → 12:47 SFO
    UA 2309 · United · 1h 46m · 68% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 6h 47m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 52 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection99%The first flight arrived more than 117 minutes late on 1% of the days it flew: too late for the 90-minute minimum connection on a 3h 27m layover.
Arrives on time65%First flight not cancelled (4.8% are) × connection made (99%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (68%).
Total trip6h 47mMRY 06:00 to SFO 12:47, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.