tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Fresno → Seattle via San Diego: arrives on time 34%

  1. 16:22 FAT → 17:47 SAN
    AS 3388 · Alaska, flown by SkyWest · 1h 25m · 65% on time, 0.5% cancelled
  2. 48m layover in San Diego (SAN) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 18:35 SAN → 21:35 SEA
    AS 1431 · Alaska · 3h 00m · 73% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 5h 13m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 51 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection47%The first flight arrived more than 3 minutes late on 53% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 48m layover.
Arrives on time34%First flight not cancelled (0.5% are) × connection made (47%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (73%).
Total trip5h 13mFAT 16:22 to SEA 21:35, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.