tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Portland → Lihue via Seattle: arrives on time 70%

  1. 15:30 PDX → 16:30 SEA
    AS 3408 · Alaska, flown by SkyWest · 1h 00m · 81% on time, 2.2% cancelled
  2. 1h 43m layover in Seattle (SEA) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 18:13 SEA → 21:25 LIH
    AS 237 · Alaska · 6h 12m · 76% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 8h 55m, scheduled departure to arrival (Lihue is 3 h behind Portland). Times are local. Both flew on 52 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection95%The first flight arrived more than 58 minutes late on 5% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 43m layover.
Arrives on time70%First flight not cancelled (2.2% are) × connection made (95%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (76%).
Total trip8h 55mPDX 15:30 to LIH 21:25, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.