tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Portland → Nashville via Seattle: arrives on time 66%

  1. 15:30 PDX → 16:30 SEA
    AS 3408 · Alaska, flown by SkyWest · 1h 00m · 81% on time, 2.2% cancelled
  2. 1h 01m layover in Seattle (SEA) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 17:31 SEA → 23:59 BNA
    AS 416 · Alaska · 4h 28m · 82% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 6h 29m, scheduled departure to arrival (Nashville is 2 h ahead of Portland). Times are local. Both flew on 51 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection82%The first flight arrived more than 16 minutes late on 18% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 01m layover.
Arrives on time66%First flight not cancelled (2.2% are) × connection made (82%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (82%).
Total trip6h 29mPDX 15:30 to BNA 23:59, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.