tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Portland → Oakland via Seattle: arrives on time 59%

  1. 15:30 PDX → 16:30 SEA
    AS 3408 · Alaska, flown by SkyWest · 1h 00m · 81% on time, 2.2% cancelled
  2. 55m layover in Seattle (SEA) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 17:25 SEA → 19:33 OAK
    AS 706 · Alaska · 2h 08m · 77% on time, 1.9% cancelled

Total trip 4h 03m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 52 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection80%The first flight arrived more than 10 minutes late on 20% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 55m layover.
Arrives on time59%First flight not cancelled (2.2% are) × connection made (80%) × second flight not cancelled (1.9% are) and within 15 minutes (77%).
Total trip4h 03mPDX 15:30 to OAK 19:33, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.