tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Portland → Missoula via Seattle: arrives on time 74%

  1. 15:30 PDX → 16:30 SEA
    AS 3408 · Alaska, flown by SkyWest · 1h 00m · 81% on time, 2.2% cancelled
  2. 4h 00m layover in Seattle (SEA) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 20:30 SEA → 22:55 MSO
    AS 2154 · Alaska, flown by Horizon · 1h 25m · 77% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 6h 25m, scheduled departure to arrival (Missoula is 1 h ahead of Portland). Times are local. Both flew on 27 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection99%The first flight arrived more than 195 minutes late on 1% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 4h 00m layover.
Arrives on time74%First flight not cancelled (2.2% are) × connection made (99%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (77%).
Total trip6h 25mPDX 15:30 to MSO 22:55, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.