tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Fresno → San Francisco via San Diego: arrives on time 21%

  1. 08:46 FAT → 10:12 SAN
    AS 3409 · Alaska, flown by SkyWest · 1h 26m · 49% on time, 1.9% cancelled
  2. 52m layover in San Diego (SAN) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 11:04 SAN → 12:51 SFO
    AS 3347 · Alaska, flown by SkyWest · 1h 47m · 64% on time, 1.8% cancelled

Total trip 4h 05m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 52 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection35%The first flight arrived more than 7 minutes late on 65% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 52m layover.
Arrives on time21%First flight not cancelled (1.9% are) × connection made (35%) × second flight not cancelled (1.8% are) and within 15 minutes (64%).
Total trip4h 05mFAT 08:46 to SFO 12:51, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.