tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Santa Rosa → Phoenix via Portland: arrives on time 86%

  1. 07:00 STS → 08:47 PDX
    AS 3417 · Alaska, flown by SkyWest · 1h 47m · 92% on time, 0.5% cancelled
  2. 1h 43m layover in Portland (PDX) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 10:30 PDX → 13:20 PHX
    AS 716 · Alaska · 2h 50m · 90% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 6h 20m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 50 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection96%The first flight arrived more than 58 minutes late on 4% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 43m layover.
Arrives on time86%First flight not cancelled (0.5% are) × connection made (96%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (90%).
Total trip6h 20mSTS 07:00 to PHX 13:20, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.