tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

San Jose → Portland via San Diego: arrives on time 60%

  1. 15:15 SJC → 16:49 SAN
    AS 3429 · Alaska, flown by SkyWest · 1h 34m · 67% on time, 2.4% cancelled
  2. 1h 09m layover in San Diego (SAN) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 17:58 SAN → 20:31 PDX
    AS 1392 · Alaska · 2h 33m · 84% on time, 0.7% cancelled

Total trip 5h 16m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 30 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection74%The first flight arrived more than 24 minutes late on 26% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 09m layover.
Arrives on time60%First flight not cancelled (2.4% are) × connection made (74%) × second flight not cancelled (0.7% are) and within 15 minutes (84%).
Total trip5h 16mSJC 15:15 to PDX 20:31, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.