tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

San Jose → Seattle via San Diego: arrives on time 36%

  1. 15:15 SJC → 16:49 SAN
    AS 3429 · Alaska, flown by SkyWest · 1h 34m · 67% on time, 2.4% cancelled
  2. 46m layover in San Diego (SAN) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 17:35 SAN → 20:35 SEA
    AS 417 · Alaska · 3h 00m · 69% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 5h 20m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 30 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection53%The first flight arrived more than 1 minutes late on 47% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 46m layover.
Arrives on time36%First flight not cancelled (2.4% are) × connection made (53%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (69%).
Total trip5h 20mSJC 15:15 to SEA 20:35, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.