tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

San Jose → Austin via San Diego: arrives on time 52%

  1. 15:15 SJC → 16:49 SAN
    AS 3429 · Alaska, flown by SkyWest · 1h 34m · 67% on time, 2.4% cancelled
  2. 59m layover in San Diego (SAN) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 17:48 SAN → 23:00 AUS
    AS 3292 · Alaska, flown by SkyWest · 3h 12m · 81% on time, 1.2% cancelled

Total trip 5h 45m, scheduled departure to arrival (Austin is 2 h ahead of San Jose). Times are local. Both flew on 30 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection67%The first flight arrived more than 14 minutes late on 33% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 59m layover.
Arrives on time52%First flight not cancelled (2.4% are) × connection made (67%) × second flight not cancelled (1.2% are) and within 15 minutes (81%).
Total trip5h 45mSJC 15:15 to AUS 23:00, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.