tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

San Francisco → Kailua/Kona via San Diego: arrives on time 80%

  1. 06:00 SFO → 07:44 SAN
    AS 3455 · Alaska, flown by SkyWest · 1h 44m · 69% on time, 2.0% cancelled
  2. 1h 28m layover in San Diego (SAN) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 09:12 SAN → 12:15 KOA
    AS 222 · Alaska · 6h 03m · 96% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 9h 15m, scheduled departure to arrival (Kailua/Kona is 3 h behind San Francisco). Times are local. Both flew on 51 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection85%The first flight arrived more than 43 minutes late on 15% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 28m layover.
Arrives on time80%First flight not cancelled (2.0% are) × connection made (85%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (96%).
Total trip9h 15mSFO 06:00 to KOA 12:15, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.