tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

San Francisco → Fresno via San Diego: arrives on time 52%

  1. 06:00 SFO → 07:44 SAN
    AS 3455 · Alaska, flown by SkyWest · 1h 44m · 69% on time, 2.0% cancelled
  2. 1h 00m layover in San Diego (SAN) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 08:44 SAN → 10:05 FAT
    AS 2208 · Alaska, flown by Horizon · 1h 21m · 78% on time, 1.9% cancelled

Total trip 4h 05m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 51 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection69%The first flight arrived more than 15 minutes late on 31% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 00m layover.
Arrives on time52%First flight not cancelled (2.0% are) × connection made (69%) × second flight not cancelled (1.9% are) and within 15 minutes (78%).
Total trip4h 05mSFO 06:00 to FAT 10:05, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.