tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

San Francisco → Honolulu via San Diego: arrives on time 36%

  1. 13:21 SFO → 15:05 SAN
    AS 3482 · Alaska, flown by SkyWest · 1h 44m · 59% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 52m layover in San Diego (SAN) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 15:57 SAN → 19:03 HNL
    AS 94 · Alaska · 6h 06m · 77% on time, 0.9% cancelled

Total trip 8h 42m, scheduled departure to arrival (Honolulu is 3 h behind San Francisco). Times are local. Both flew on 50 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection47%The first flight arrived more than 7 minutes late on 53% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 52m layover.
Arrives on time36%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (47%) × second flight not cancelled (0.9% are) and within 15 minutes (77%).
Total trip8h 42mSFO 13:21 to HNL 19:03, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.