tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

San Francisco → Everett via Santa Ana: arrives on time 71%

  1. 15:48 SFO → 17:26 SNA
    AS 3494 · Alaska, flown by SkyWest · 1h 38m · 85% on time, 0.7% cancelled
  2. 1h 30m layover in Santa Ana (SNA) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 18:56 SNA → 21:40 PAE
    AS 2116 · Alaska, flown by Horizon · 2h 44m · 80% on time, 2.5% cancelled

Total trip 5h 52m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 49 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection92%The first flight arrived more than 45 minutes late on 8% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 30m layover.
Arrives on time71%First flight not cancelled (0.7% are) × connection made (92%) × second flight not cancelled (2.5% are) and within 15 minutes (80%).
Total trip5h 52mSFO 15:48 to PAE 21:40, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.