tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Palm Springs → Portland via San Francisco: arrives on time 60%

  1. 07:15 PSP → 08:48 SFO
    AS 3497 · Alaska, flown by SkyWest · 1h 33m · 60% on time, 2.5% cancelled
  2. 3h 20m layover in San Francisco (SFO) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 12:08 SFO → 13:50 PDX
    AS 235 · Alaska · 1h 42m · 62% on time, 0.4% cancelled

Total trip 6h 35m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 45 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection99%The first flight arrived more than 155 minutes late on 1% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 3h 20m layover.
Arrives on time60%First flight not cancelled (2.5% are) × connection made (99%) × second flight not cancelled (0.4% are) and within 15 minutes (62%).
Total trip6h 35mPSP 07:15 to PDX 13:50, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.