tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Bozeman → New York via Seattle: arrives on time 81%

  1. 18:58 BZN → 20:02 SEA
    AS 3498 · Alaska, flown by SkyWest · 2h 04m · 57% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 3h 13m layover in Seattle (SEA) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 23:15 SEA → 07:38 JFK +1 day
    AS 22 · Alaska · 5h 23m · 81% on time, 0.9% cancelled

Total trip 10h 40m, scheduled departure to arrival (New York is 2 h ahead of Bozeman). Times are local. Both flew on 51 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection100%The first flight arrived more than 148 minutes late on 0% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 3h 13m layover.
Arrives on time81%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (100%) × second flight not cancelled (0.9% are) and within 15 minutes (81%).
Total trip10h 40mBZN 18:58 to JFK 07:38, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.