tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Bozeman → Newark via Seattle: arrives on time 83%

  1. 18:58 BZN → 20:02 SEA
    AS 3498 · Alaska, flown by SkyWest · 2h 04m · 57% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 2h 38m layover in Seattle (SEA) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 22:40 SEA → 06:59 EWR +1 day
    AS 314 · Alaska · 5h 19m · 86% on time, 0.5% cancelled

Total trip 10h 01m, scheduled departure to arrival (Newark is 2 h ahead of Bozeman). Times are local. Both flew on 51 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection96%The first flight arrived more than 113 minutes late on 4% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 2h 38m layover.
Arrives on time83%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (96%) × second flight not cancelled (0.5% are) and within 15 minutes (86%).
Total trip10h 01mBZN 18:58 to EWR 06:59, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.