tailodds FORECAST
Connection · two tickets · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Bozeman → Newark via Seattle: arrives on time 81%

  1. 18:58 BZN → 20:02 SEA
    AS 3498 · Alaska, flown by SkyWest · 2h 04m · 57% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 2h 58m layover in Seattle (SEA) · 90 min minimum on separate tickets
  3. 23:00 SEA → 07:18 EWR +1 day
    UA 1274 · United · 5h 18m · 87% on time, 2.2% cancelled

Total trip 10h 20m, scheduled departure to arrival (Newark is 2 h ahead of Bozeman). Times are local. Both flew on 51 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection96%The first flight arrived more than 88 minutes late on 4% of the days it flew: too late for the 90-minute minimum connection on a 2h 58m layover.
Arrives on time81%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (96%) × second flight not cancelled (2.2% are) and within 15 minutes (87%).
Total trip10h 20mBZN 18:58 to EWR 07:18, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.