tailodds FORECAST
Connection · two tickets · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Bozeman → Chicago via Seattle: arrives on time 64%

  1. 18:58 BZN → 20:02 SEA
    AS 3498 · Alaska, flown by SkyWest · 2h 04m · 57% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 3h 03m layover in Seattle (SEA) · 90 min minimum on separate tickets
  3. 23:05 SEA → 05:00 MDW +1 day
    WN 2304 · Southwest · 3h 55m · 67% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 9h 02m, scheduled departure to arrival (Chicago is 1 h ahead of Bozeman). Times are local. Both flew on 51 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection96%The first flight arrived more than 93 minutes late on 4% of the days it flew: too late for the 90-minute minimum connection on a 3h 03m layover.
Arrives on time64%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (96%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (67%).
Total trip9h 02mBZN 18:58 to MDW 05:00, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.