tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Sioux Falls → Chicago via Minneapolis: arrives on time 64%

  1. 16:26 FSD → 17:40 MSP
    DL 3538 · Delta, flown by SkyWest · 1h 14m · 76% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 2h 05m layover in Minneapolis (MSP) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 19:45 MSP → 21:25 ORD
    DL 1563 · Delta · 1h 40m · 68% on time, 0.5% cancelled

Total trip 4h 59m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 54 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection95%The first flight arrived more than 80 minutes late on 5% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 2h 05m layover.
Arrives on time64%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (95%) × second flight not cancelled (0.5% are) and within 15 minutes (68%).
Total trip4h 59mFSD 16:26 to ORD 21:25, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.