tailodds FORECAST
Connection · two tickets · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Sioux Falls → Phoenix via Minneapolis: arrives on time 84%

  1. 10:56 FSD → 12:10 MSP
    DL 3561 · Delta, flown by SkyWest · 1h 14m · 98% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 2h 37m layover in Minneapolis (MSP) · 90 min minimum on separate tickets
  3. 14:47 MSP → 16:10 PHX
    AA 2146 · American · 3h 23m · 86% on time, 2.6% cancelled

Total trip 7h 14m, scheduled departure to arrival (Phoenix is 2 h behind Sioux Falls). Times are local. Both flew on 24 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection100%The first flight arrived more than 67 minutes late on 0% of the days it flew: too late for the 90-minute minimum connection on a 2h 37m layover.
Arrives on time84%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (100%) × second flight not cancelled (2.6% are) and within 15 minutes (86%).
Total trip7h 14mFSD 10:56 to PHX 16:10, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.