tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Sioux Falls → Chicago via Minneapolis: arrives on time 67%

  1. 10:56 FSD → 12:10 MSP
    DL 3561 · Delta, flown by SkyWest · 1h 14m · 98% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 1h 16m layover in Minneapolis (MSP) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 13:26 MSP → 15:05 ORD
    DL 1533 · Delta · 1h 39m · 71% on time, 3.1% cancelled

Total trip 4h 09m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 48 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection98%The first flight arrived more than 31 minutes late on 2% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 16m layover.
Arrives on time67%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (98%) × second flight not cancelled (3.1% are) and within 15 minutes (71%).
Total trip4h 09mFSD 10:56 to ORD 15:05, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.