tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Providence → Chicago via Detroit: arrives on time 65%

  1. 05:30 PVD → 07:40 DTW
    DL 3626 · Delta, flown by SkyWest · 2h 10m · 85% on time, 1.8% cancelled
  2. 1h 10m layover in Detroit (DTW) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 08:50 DTW → 09:14 MDW
    DL 4684 · Delta, flown by Endeavor · 1h 24m · 74% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 4h 44m, scheduled departure to arrival (Chicago is 1 h behind Providence). Times are local. Both flew on 55 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection89%The first flight arrived more than 25 minutes late on 11% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 10m layover.
Arrives on time65%First flight not cancelled (1.8% are) × connection made (89%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (74%).
Total trip4h 44mPVD 05:30 to MDW 09:14, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.