tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Buffalo → Dulles via Detroit: arrives on time 76%

  1. 12:04 BUF → 13:23 DTW
    DL 3636 · Delta, flown by SkyWest · 1h 19m · 81% on time, 1.8% cancelled
  2. 1h 47m layover in Detroit (DTW) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 15:10 DTW → 16:42 IAD
    DL 1787 · Delta · 1h 32m · 86% on time, 2.6% cancelled

Total trip 4h 38m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 47 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection93%The first flight arrived more than 62 minutes late on 7% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 47m layover.
Arrives on time76%First flight not cancelled (1.8% are) × connection made (93%) × second flight not cancelled (2.6% are) and within 15 minutes (86%).
Total trip4h 38mBUF 12:04 to IAD 16:42, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.