tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Buffalo → Newark via Detroit: arrives on time 46%

  1. 12:04 BUF → 13:23 DTW
    DL 3636 · Delta, flown by SkyWest · 1h 19m · 81% on time, 1.8% cancelled
  2. 47m layover in Detroit (DTW) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 14:10 DTW → 15:59 EWR
    DL 2573 · Delta · 1h 49m · 71% on time, 4.5% cancelled

Total trip 3h 55m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 47 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection69%The first flight arrived more than 2 minutes late on 31% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 47m layover.
Arrives on time46%First flight not cancelled (1.8% are) × connection made (69%) × second flight not cancelled (4.5% are) and within 15 minutes (71%).
Total trip3h 55mBUF 12:04 to EWR 15:59, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.