tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Buffalo → New York via Detroit: arrives on time 71%

  1. 12:04 BUF → 13:23 DTW
    DL 3636 · Delta, flown by SkyWest · 1h 19m · 81% on time, 1.8% cancelled
  2. 2h 55m layover in Detroit (DTW) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 16:18 DTW → 18:29 JFK
    DL 2934 · Delta · 2h 11m · 79% on time, 3.1% cancelled

Total trip 6h 25m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 55 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection94%The first flight arrived more than 130 minutes late on 6% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 2h 55m layover.
Arrives on time71%First flight not cancelled (1.8% are) × connection made (94%) × second flight not cancelled (3.1% are) and within 15 minutes (79%).
Total trip6h 25mBUF 12:04 to JFK 18:29, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.