tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Buffalo → Newark via Detroit: arrives on time 68%

  1. 09:03 BUF → 10:18 DTW
    DL 3639 · Delta, flown by SkyWest · 1h 15m · 89% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 3h 52m layover in Detroit (DTW) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 14:10 DTW → 15:59 EWR
    DL 2573 · Delta · 1h 49m · 71% on time, 4.5% cancelled

Total trip 6h 56m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 47 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection100%The first flight arrived more than 187 minutes late on 0% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 3h 52m layover.
Arrives on time68%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (100%) × second flight not cancelled (4.5% are) and within 15 minutes (71%).
Total trip6h 56mBUF 09:03 to EWR 15:59, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.