tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Buffalo → Minneapolis via Detroit: arrives on time 80%

  1. 09:03 BUF → 10:18 DTW
    DL 3639 · Delta, flown by SkyWest · 1h 15m · 89% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 2h 02m layover in Detroit (DTW) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 12:20 DTW → 13:14 MSP
    DL 2697 · Delta · 1h 54m · 84% on time, 1.1% cancelled

Total trip 5h 11m, scheduled departure to arrival (Minneapolis is 1 h behind Buffalo). Times are local. Both flew on 54 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection96%The first flight arrived more than 77 minutes late on 4% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 2h 02m layover.
Arrives on time80%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (96%) × second flight not cancelled (1.1% are) and within 15 minutes (84%).
Total trip5h 11mBUF 09:03 to MSP 13:14, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.