tailodds FORECAST
Connection · two tickets · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Buffalo → Philadelphia via Detroit: arrives on time 76%

  1. 09:03 BUF → 10:18 DTW
    DL 3639 · Delta, flown by SkyWest · 1h 15m · 89% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 2h 40m layover in Detroit (DTW) · 90 min minimum on separate tickets
  3. 12:58 DTW → 14:40 PHL
    AA 5530 · American, flown by PSA · 1h 41m · 83% on time, 3.3% cancelled

Total trip 5h 36m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 22 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection94%The first flight arrived more than 70 minutes late on 6% of the days it flew: too late for the 90-minute minimum connection on a 2h 40m layover.
Arrives on time76%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (94%) × second flight not cancelled (3.3% are) and within 15 minutes (83%).
Total trip5h 36mBUF 09:03 to PHL 14:40, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.