tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Detroit → New York via Buffalo: arrives on time 82%

  1. 07:07 DTW → 08:23 BUF
    DL 3639 · Delta, flown by SkyWest · 1h 16m · 93% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 1h 37m layover in Buffalo (BUF) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 10:00 BUF → 11:24 JFK
    DL 5426 · Delta, flown by Endeavor · 1h 24m · 90% on time, 2.7% cancelled

Total trip 4h 17m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 48 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection94%The first flight arrived more than 52 minutes late on 6% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 37m layover.
Arrives on time82%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (94%) × second flight not cancelled (2.7% are) and within 15 minutes (90%).
Total trip4h 17mDTW 07:07 to JFK 11:24, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.