tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Buffalo → Atlanta via Detroit: arrives on time 54%

  1. 16:01 BUF → 17:19 DTW
    DL 3642 · Delta, flown by SkyWest · 1h 18m · 73% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 50m layover in Detroit (DTW) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 18:09 DTW → 20:19 ATL
    DL 2053 · Delta · 2h 10m · 75% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 4h 18m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 55 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection73%The first flight arrived more than 5 minutes late on 27% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 50m layover.
Arrives on time54%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (73%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (75%).
Total trip4h 18mBUF 16:01 to ATL 20:19, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.