tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Detroit → New York via Savannah: arrives on time 38%

  1. 15:14 DTW → 17:28 SAV
    DL 3651 · Delta, flown by SkyWest · 2h 14m · 67% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 46m layover in Savannah (SAV) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 18:14 SAV → 20:39 JFK
    DL 5460 · Delta, flown by Endeavor · 2h 25m · 75% on time, 9.3% cancelled

Total trip 5h 25m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 48 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection55%The first flight arrived more than 1 minutes late on 45% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 46m layover.
Arrives on time38%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (55%) × second flight not cancelled (9.3% are) and within 15 minutes (75%).
Total trip5h 25mDTW 15:14 to JFK 20:39, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.