tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Madison → Phoenix via Detroit: arrives on time 80%

  1. 07:00 MSN → 09:22 DTW
    DL 3665 · Delta, flown by SkyWest · 1h 22m · 100% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 3h 26m layover in Detroit (DTW) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 12:48 DTW → 13:55 PHX
    DL 813 · Delta · 4h 07m · 80% on time, 0.7% cancelled

Total trip 8h 55m, scheduled departure to arrival (Phoenix is 2 h behind Madison). Times are local. Both flew on 24 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection100%The first flight arrived more than 161 minutes late on 0% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 3h 26m layover.
Arrives on time80%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (100%) × second flight not cancelled (0.7% are) and within 15 minutes (80%).
Total trip8h 55mMSN 07:00 to PHX 13:55, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.