tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Milwaukee → New York via Detroit: arrives on time 38%

  1. 18:49 MKE → 21:00 DTW
    DL 3675 · Delta, flown by SkyWest · 1h 11m · 61% on time, 1.1% cancelled
  2. 50m layover in Detroit (DTW) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 21:50 DTW → 23:41 LGA
    DL 2603 · Delta · 1h 51m · 74% on time, 6.9% cancelled

Total trip 3h 52m, scheduled departure to arrival (New York is 1 h ahead of Milwaukee). Times are local. Both flew on 48 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection56%The first flight arrived more than 5 minutes late on 44% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 50m layover.
Arrives on time38%First flight not cancelled (1.1% are) × connection made (56%) × second flight not cancelled (6.9% are) and within 15 minutes (74%).
Total trip3h 52mMKE 18:49 to LGA 23:41, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.