tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Birmingham → Philadelphia via Detroit: arrives on time 59%

  1. 10:22 BHM → 13:30 DTW
    DL 3685 · Delta, flown by SkyWest · 2h 08m · 80% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 1h 23m layover in Detroit (DTW) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 14:53 DTW → 16:36 PHL
    DL 1391 · Delta · 1h 43m · 71% on time, 2.4% cancelled

Total trip 5h 14m, scheduled departure to arrival (Philadelphia is 1 h ahead of Birmingham). Times are local. Both flew on 55 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection85%The first flight arrived more than 38 minutes late on 15% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 23m layover.
Arrives on time59%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (85%) × second flight not cancelled (2.4% are) and within 15 minutes (71%).
Total trip5h 14mBHM 10:22 to PHL 16:36, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.