tailodds FORECAST
Connection · two tickets · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Santa Ana → Washington via Seattle: arrives on time 69%

  1. 07:00 SNA → 10:05 SEA
    DL 3695 · Delta, flown by SkyWest · 3h 05m · 84% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 3h 41m layover in Seattle (SEA) · 90 min minimum on separate tickets
  3. 13:46 SEA → 21:59 DCA
    AS 2 · Alaska · 5h 13m · 70% on time, 1.1% cancelled

Total trip 11h 59m, scheduled departure to arrival (Washington is 3 h ahead of Santa Ana). Times are local. Both flew on 55 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection99%The first flight arrived more than 131 minutes late on 1% of the days it flew: too late for the 90-minute minimum connection on a 3h 41m layover.
Arrives on time69%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (99%) × second flight not cancelled (1.1% are) and within 15 minutes (70%).
Total trip11h 59mSNA 07:00 to DCA 21:59, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.