tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Dulles → Las Vegas via Minneapolis: arrives on time 77%

  1. 11:44 IAD → 13:39 MSP
    DL 3699 · Delta, flown by SkyWest · 2h 55m · 87% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 1h 12m layover in Minneapolis (MSP) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 14:51 MSP → 16:10 LAS
    DL 1542 · Delta · 3h 19m · 86% on time, 1.5% cancelled

Total trip 7h 26m, scheduled departure to arrival (Las Vegas is 3 h behind Dulles). Times are local. Both flew on 36 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection90%The first flight arrived more than 27 minutes late on 10% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 12m layover.
Arrives on time77%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (90%) × second flight not cancelled (1.5% are) and within 15 minutes (86%).
Total trip7h 26mIAD 11:44 to LAS 16:10, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.