tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Dulles → Buffalo via Minneapolis: arrives on time 80%

  1. 11:44 IAD → 13:39 MSP
    DL 3699 · Delta, flown by SkyWest · 2h 55m · 87% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 1h 43m layover in Minneapolis (MSP) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 15:22 MSP → 18:27 BUF
    DL 1749 · Delta · 2h 05m · 85% on time, 1.9% cancelled

Total trip 6h 43m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 54 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection95%The first flight arrived more than 58 minutes late on 5% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 43m layover.
Arrives on time80%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (95%) × second flight not cancelled (1.9% are) and within 15 minutes (85%).
Total trip6h 43mIAD 11:44 to BUF 18:27, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.