tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Dulles → Santa Ana via Minneapolis: arrives on time 67%

  1. 11:44 IAD → 13:39 MSP
    DL 3699 · Delta, flown by SkyWest · 2h 55m · 87% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 4h 49m layover in Minneapolis (MSP) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 18:28 MSP → 20:24 SNA
    DL 2107 · Delta · 3h 56m · 68% on time, 1.7% cancelled

Total trip 11h 40m, scheduled departure to arrival (Santa Ana is 3 h behind Dulles). Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection100%The first flight arrived more than 244 minutes late on 0% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 4h 49m layover.
Arrives on time67%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (100%) × second flight not cancelled (1.7% are) and within 15 minutes (68%).
Total trip11h 40mIAD 11:44 to SNA 20:24, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.