tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Dulles → Philadelphia via Minneapolis: arrives on time 56%

  1. 11:44 IAD → 13:39 MSP
    DL 3699 · Delta, flown by SkyWest · 2h 55m · 87% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 46m layover in Minneapolis (MSP) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 14:25 MSP → 18:07 PHL
    DL 2594 · Delta · 2h 42m · 76% on time, 4.2% cancelled

Total trip 6h 23m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 48 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection77%The first flight arrived more than 1 minutes late on 23% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 46m layover.
Arrives on time56%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (77%) × second flight not cancelled (4.2% are) and within 15 minutes (76%).
Total trip6h 23mIAD 11:44 to PHL 18:07, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.