tailodds FORECAST
Connection · two tickets · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Minneapolis → Las Vegas via Dulles: arrives on time 85%

  1. 07:17 MSP → 10:52 IAD
    DL 3699 · Delta, flown by SkyWest · 2h 35m · 88% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 2h 08m layover in Dulles (IAD) · 90 min minimum on separate tickets
  3. 13:00 IAD → 15:09 LAS
    UA 2156 · United · 5h 09m · 91% on time, 0.4% cancelled

Total trip 9h 52m, scheduled departure to arrival (Las Vegas is 2 h behind Minneapolis). Times are local. Both flew on 55 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection93%The first flight arrived more than 38 minutes late on 7% of the days it flew: too late for the 90-minute minimum connection on a 2h 08m layover.
Arrives on time85%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (93%) × second flight not cancelled (0.4% are) and within 15 minutes (91%).
Total trip9h 52mMSP 07:17 to LAS 15:09, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.