tailodds FORECAST
Connection · two tickets · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Minneapolis → Norfolk via Dulles: arrives on time 88%

  1. 07:17 MSP → 10:52 IAD
    DL 3699 · Delta, flown by SkyWest · 2h 35m · 88% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 2h 13m layover in Dulles (IAD) · 90 min minimum on separate tickets
  3. 13:05 IAD → 14:17 ORF
    UA 6313 · United, flown by Mesa · 1h 12m · 92% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 6h 00m, scheduled departure to arrival (Norfolk is 1 h ahead of Minneapolis). Times are local. Both flew on 38 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection95%The first flight arrived more than 43 minutes late on 5% of the days it flew: too late for the 90-minute minimum connection on a 2h 13m layover.
Arrives on time88%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (95%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (92%).
Total trip6h 00mMSP 07:17 to ORF 14:17, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.