tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Sacramento → New York via Los Angeles: arrives on time 62%

  1. 09:21 SMF → 10:58 LAX
    DL 3700 · Delta, flown by SkyWest · 1h 37m · 84% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 1h 17m layover in Los Angeles (LAX) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 12:15 LAX → 20:58 JFK
    DL 939 · Delta · 5h 43m · 73% on time, 1.8% cancelled

Total trip 8h 37m, scheduled departure to arrival (New York is 3 h ahead of Sacramento). Times are local. Both flew on 43 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection86%The first flight arrived more than 32 minutes late on 14% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 17m layover.
Arrives on time62%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (86%) × second flight not cancelled (1.8% are) and within 15 minutes (73%).
Total trip8h 37mSMF 09:21 to JFK 20:58, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.